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Sorry.) If Jerry Jones wants to shell out $68 million dollars to make sure the Cowboys get picks 1, 2, and 4, who are we to stop him? That’s what the market demanded, and the market is never wrong. (Well, there probably is for the Chargers. Owners bring their own money to this auction, and there is no ceiling on what they can spend. The money’s all separate and goes to charityįorget about the salary cap.

I can guarantee you this will have an audience that dwarfs that.

Millions of people watch the NBA Lottery. Naturally, all of this takes place on television for our collective entertainment and the NFL’s further broadcast enrichment. A struggling team with an early pick can go even further and try to pay for more selections at the top. A champion can decide to invest for the future rather than sit at the bottom of the first round. A team that’s a piece or two away but without draft assets can plunk down cash to grab a promising rookie. We can combine those two truths into one ego-fueled auction, with football’s superrich pushing each other into increasingly outlandish bids. Second, the owners of those teams generally have more money than they know what to do with. The night before the first round, auction the top five draft positions offįirst, these picks are incredibly valuable that’s why teams give up lots of future draft capital just to move up into the earliest spots. But the first five picks receive special treatment. This is the 2021 selection order for the first round as it presently stands:ģ) San Francisco 49ers (from Houston Texans through Miami Dolphins)Ħ) Miami Dolphins (from Philadelphia Eagles)ġ2) Philadelphia Eagles (from San Francisco 49ers through Miami Dolphins)Ģ3) New York Jets (from Seattle Seahawks)Ģ5) Jacksonville Jaguars (from Los Angeles Rams)Īnd this is how it would look under the Top Five Auction:Ĩ) San Francisco 49ers (from Houston Texans through Miami Dolphins)ġ1) Miami Dolphins (from Philadelphia Eagles)ġ7) Philadelphia Eagles (from San Francisco 49ers through Miami Dolphins)Ģ8) New York Jets (from Seattle Seahawks)ģ0) Jacksonville Jaguars (from Los Angeles Rams)īad teams still get rewarded in this system the Jaguars and Jets have the highest guaranteed picks, in range to pick extremely talented players like Kyle Pitts or Ja’Marr Chase or Rashawn Slater. Take the current order and move everyone down five spots How do we give these passers the chance to get drafted early and succeed without destroying competitive balance? We have the NFL take the first five picks of each Draft and auction them off. (It’s not an accident that the Jaguars have had a top-ten pick in 11 of the last 12 Drafts.) And talented quarterbacks drafted by perpetually lost franchises have no real chance of winning a Super Bowl. Stinking can sometimes be a one year blip, like the 2011 Colts losing Peyton Manning for a season and going 2-14, but it’s usually the result of chronic mismanagement.

Most teams picking early in the Draft are there because they stunk. There is, however, another line of argument worth considering from Schaap’s numbers. That’s right: I am the only man on the internet brave enough to suggest that winning a Super Bowl is hard. And if you include top-five quarterbacks who took their franchise to the Super Bowl but didn’t win it, five more players get added to the list. There are only 33 quarterbacks ever who’ve won a Super Bowl, with the team who brought them into the league or otherwise. Granted, there are some problems with that logic. As a purely statistical matter, Schaap is right: an NFL team who takes a quarterback early is highly unlikely to see that QB lift a Lombardi Trophy on their behalf. If we expand his range slightly and focus on quarterbacks taken with a top-five pick, we get 50 draftees and only one additional name (Jim McMahon) added to Schaap’s list. Schaap concluded that teams with early picks would be better off avoiding the risk and taking an offensive lineman or linebacker early instead. Exactly two have gone on to win Super Bowls as starters for the teams that drafted them: Aikman and Peyton.Įlway and Eli are asterisks.- Jeremy Schaap April 9, 2021 In the last 50 NFL drafts, 44 quarterbacks have been selected first, second or third.

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